三國(2): 官渡之戰

聽完過五關宰六將,真是過癮. 劉備三兄弟終於團圓,又得趙雲. 評書人,袁闊城,話頭一轉,說起曹操破袁紹.

官渡之戰是最精彩的一段,曹操以近十分之一的兵力,隔水對抗袁紹. 對壘多時後,他夜襲烏巢,把袁紹的糧燒了. 袁紹想稱機拿官渡,但不料曹操烏巢的兵大勝而回,反而首尾受敵. 結果十萬大兵,只剩800人退回黎陽. 這一戰,奠定了曹操的地位,也毀了袁紹.

小時看三國,只想諸葛亮打勝仗. 一面看一面氣,為什麼又輸了. 現在的角度不同了,官渡之戰的關鍵,是許攸倒戈,他有烏巢的資訊,曹操因此出兵夜襲. 而許攸倒戈,是因為袁紹沒有管理能力. 歷史雖以成敗論英雄,但是袁曹的人格及管理能力,在這官渡之戰呈現無疑.

從管理的角度看,官渡是雙方的”決定性時機”. 但袁紹以為可以用兵力致勝,而掉以輕心,留下了烏巢這弱點. 曹操要以少致勝,必然想出奇.袁紹低估了對方. 但曹操的膽識,必須佩服. 敢以十分之一兵力對敵,也有”執行能力”,信任許攸,打下烏巢. 這是得霸業的能力,不是運氣.

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How Medicinal?

Two years in a row since I arrived, Myrtle Beach hosted Seattle Hempfest: a celebration for Marijuana or “the world’s largest marijuana decriminalization gathering.” This year, the envelope was, again, pushed a bit further. Jonathan Martin of Seattle Times reported:

Squeezed between a Ben & Jerry’s cart and a booth selling rolling papers, two naturopathic doctors worked briskly through a line of patients. … The ads offered authorization to use medical marijuana for one year for $150 if the patient had medical records; $200 with no medical records.

The state law (RCW 69.51A.005) that legalize medical marijuana said,

Qualifying patients with terminal or debilitating illnesses shall not be found guilty of a crime under state law for their possession and limited use of marijuana;
Persons who act as designated providers to such patients shall also not be found guilty of a crime under state law for assisting with the medical use of marijuana

Further, the law explains that “pain unrelieved by standard medical treatments and medications” qualifies: headache, stress, muscle pain, arthritics, back pain, mood swing, menopause, or just about anything. The challenge is to find a willing provider. That problem, the market sure has solved.

Since this substance is illegal federally, doctors cannot prescribe it, they can only recommend. That means medical professional are not regulated with any laws at all. The state laws protect them and no federal laws were broken either. The laws actually prevent medical professional to actually apply Marijuana medicinally, since that will be illegal under federal laws. So, medical Marijuana’s real serious purpose is recreational. Of those 100,000 or so who attended Hempfest. The majority probably agreed.

This is just silly.

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Directorship

My first real director job was at Sun Microsystems. (Although I obtained even more impressive titles earlier.) Soon after I got the job, they sent me to the director school: a 2-session, multi-day, off-site, too much food class called “Take Charge,” or something like that. (Soon after I finished, Sun cut back the costs and made it on-site and much less foods.) The message was simple: being a director is a critical turning point in the managerial career; you must be prepared else you will fail.

Lately, someone, a new director, asked a rather simple question, “Everyone is talking big ideas. Is this something I must learn to do as a director?” Come to think of it, many of you have become directors in recent years. Did you have similar questions? How come you did not ask me?

For clarification, a director is a junior executive position that has one or two layers of management structure underneath and reporting to, usually, a VP, who reports to the Boss, someone who is accountable for finance, sales, marketing, and product development. Counting down from the boss, the director is at the 3rd level.

What are the differences between a director and a senior manager?

  • Think business:

    A director think what are the right things to do for the business. Frequently, this makes him appear less human that will cold-heartedly sacrifice people for profitability or other business objectives. The best directors are usually great people managers. But the position requires him to place business priority ahead of personal needs.

    Interestingly, at least for the industry that I am in, taking care of people are usually the best way to take care of the business. So for the most situations, there is no conflict. But there are times when the director will face the choice and he is expected to make the hard decisions.

  • Turn paper into reality:

    Directorship is the bridge between strategy and plans. At strategic level, implementation details are usually omitted. Then, the directors are called to turn that strategy into executable plans that can be carried out. This, arguably, is the most important business function of all. All visions, strategies, and architectures are mere slidewares without solid execution skills. All plans, no matter how brilliantly made, needs people to carry them out. Without such implementation layer, no company can achieve the aspiration.

  • Accomplish through peers:

    It is no longer possible for directors to complete his assignments with only resources of his own. Every jobs, every projects, need collaboration from a vast network of peers. A director is at the same time at both sides of the supplier chain, usually internal but sometime external too. Influencing skills (negotiation and persuasion) are way more important than commanding ones. This is why directors’ calendars are always booked. They are always in a meeting.

  • Make rules, not just follow them:

    Directors interpret vision, strategies, and policies, most come down from above, but not all. They become operational practices, rules, or priority that guide the troops on day-to-day basis. Since those vision, strategies, and polices change frequently, directors must balance the stability of the operation with the new direction of the company. As we knew, the line between interpreting and making laws is thin and blur.

  • Agree or quit:

    The phrase “disagree and commit” does not apply anymore. At this level, there are too many judgment calls and situations to handle. One must sign up to the spirit of the objective. If there is no sincerity or true belief, there can be no success.

  • Make it happen:

    No bullshit, no whining, no excuses. The bucks may or may not stop here, but the accountability does. The boss does not expect to check on you. By the end of the process, he/she expects results, or your head falls.

For those aspiring middle-managers, I always tell them that directorship is a life-style change, not just a promotion. If you don’t want that life-style, you really don’t want the job.

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It is over. Finally!

Honestly, by Book #7, I was not anticipating its release. J.K. Rowling wrote lengthier and darker as Harry Potter saga continued. The books became adult-level effort with teenager level enjoyment. But I am the guy who read all six of the Dune series and watch RoboCop #3: a sucker for sequels. So I dully read HP7 and went to see the movie that was supposed to be the last. How fitting, when HP7.2 poster showed up, it said, “It all ends on July 15.” Never had I so welcome the ending for the reason of “Let’s get it over with.”

Overall, it was actually a good movie. Harry’s struggle and sacrifice was heart-felt. Hermione, how lovely Emma Watson turns out, is a bit weak. Snape was as delightfully hateful. Ron, oh well, was Ron. The epic battle reminded me a bit of Helm’s Deep. I also liked Snape’s memory replay a lot.

The bad parts of the movie came from the book. The over-complication of the Deathly Hallow objects. The confusion among the Horcruxes and their destruction. The Ex Machina of Dumbledore and Harry’s other dead relatives. And, worst of all, the unnecessary epilogue of the “19 years later” and the pathetic make-ups (except for Ron’s bulging mid-section).

I don’t know how well will the “Deluxe 8 DVD Set” sell. I am not going to buy them and sure glad this whole series, books and movies, is now over.

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The Solution to the US Economy: Science

The USA headquarters 133 of the biggest 500 companies in the world, followed by Japan 68, and China 61. There are many reasons these countries did well in the arena of economy, for the US it is about innovation. The US is not about refining the processes, administrating the huge population, or fine-tuning the supply chains. By the time Japan figured out how to make better cars, we have moved on to computers and software. By the time China copied social networking, we have invented drugs that cure diseases. Along the way, we also invented the derivatives and credit default swap. All those changed the world and brought billions to the US tax revenue.

If you have read my recent entry, Pay Back Time Will Come, you must have agreed that there is no way we can cut our expenses out of this quagmire.

Innovator’s DNA suggested that innovation is an innate quality: nature not nurture. In a way, that’s great news for America. There are really abundant number of innovators in this country. All we have to do is to harvest them.

So, in addition to austerity measures and tax hikes, let’s work on what really make this country great:

  • Immigration:

    Immigrants, those who left their home country and moved here, are the source of calculated risk taking. The founding fathers are all immigrants, so were those who came to the wild, wild west. Let’s open the doors and welcome them: fresh blood, diligent workers that do not take anything for granted, and a good source for innovators.

  • University:

    Long known to be the breeding ground for creativity and major area for deep researches. Professors are cheap to fund. Stipends are nothing compared to Wall Street bonuses. Grad students live in the dorm, bike to work, and eat cafeteria foods. Yet these people change the world. It is insane to cut education budget. Give them money.

  • New NASA, many NASA:

    Astronauts are the best specimen of human beings. Audacious projects pushed technologies into areas no one knew exist. Geniuses are recession proof, give them their workshops.

Stop killing future. This country threw away trillions of dollars and ran out of money for teachers. Science is not expensive and is where everything came from. Fund that and let scientists lead us out of this mess.

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Alki Beach

The Denny Party, the original settlers of Seattle, chose Alki first. After one winter, they decided to go inland to avoid the fierce pounding of winter storms. Where they settled later became Seattle. On clear days, Seattleites flock to this beach, really the only one nearby. They would soak up the sun, laze around, watch ferries and cruise ships, and enjoy the grandeur view of the snow-capped Olympic Range. That’s why there won’t be any parking spaces left on the streets.

Jogging or walking dogs are excellent activities. When you are bored at the beach, there are so many restaurants and bars to spend hours with friends. If it is just a quick bite, the Sunfish fish and chips is a wonderful Greek-run establishment. For fancier eating, Salty’s requires reservation and is the only restaurant with a view to Seattle downtown across the water.

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Pay back time will come

Let’s put some data on the table:

US Annualized GDP: 15.0 trillion
Current debt ceiling: 14.3 trillion
Current US debts: 14.3 trillion (yep, at the ceiling)
US Federal spending: 3.6 trillion
Federal tax revenue: 2.2 trillion
US Federal deficit: 1.4 trillion

Of those 3.6 trillion of federal spending:

Medicare/Medicaid: 824 billion
Social Security: 716 billion
Defense: 702 billion
Interest on debts: 213 billion

Yes, these four add up to 2.455 trillion, or 68% of the federal spending. Yes, all the highways, national parks, foreign aids, bridges to wherever, green whatever, education, unemployment benefits, immigration border control, abortion or not, subsidies and all the controversies you and your politicians debated all day long add up to less than a third of the federal budget. We can cut them all out and the debts will still continue to grow.

My dear citizens of the US. What would you like to do? And everyone, what do you think is really going to happen in 10 years?

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Non-Myths of Programming

The July, 2011, issue of CACM has this interesting article on the Non-Myths of Programming. If you are a member, don’t skip.

Both kids study science and engineering, neither of them ventured into software or computer. I have curiously inquired the reasons and they, for large parts, matched these non-myths.

  • Non-Myth #1: Programming is Boring
  • Non-Myth #2: You Spend Most of Your Working Life in Front of a Computer Screen
  • Non-Myth #3: You Have to Work Long Hours
  • Non-Myth #4: Programming Is Asocial
  • Non-Myth #5: Programming Is Only for Those Who Think Logically
  • Non-Myth #6: Software Is Being Outsourced
  • Non-Myth #7. Programming Is a Well-Paid Profession

Dr. Mordechai (Moti) Ben-Ari, the author, stated perfectly. These, except for #2 and #7, are true for practically all professions: legal, medicine, arts, or sports. To excel in any of these, one must specialize and practice for years with such devotion that the practitioner will become asocial. And honestly, which jobs you know do not require staring at the computer screen for long time and not threatened to be outsourced?

This brings back to #7. The fact is software engineering remains to be a very well-paid job for people with average aptitude in this field, compared to, say, arts and sport. An average professional artist or athlete makes very little, although the top talents earn handsomely. Yes, arts and sports are probably immune from being outsourced, but count the number of them that are not working the second job to make a living.

The young generation, and there is always one such thing, wants stimulating, challenging, well-paying jobs that are fun and with lots of opportunities to hang out with friends. They saw the most successful ones: President Obama, Oscar winners, gold medalists, world champions, platinum album sellers, etc. and want to be just like that. Unlike those days of Bill Joy and Marc Andreessen, software has become mundane. No longer can kids in a garage change the world just like that. It is easier, and funner, to compete for American Idols.

And we taught them, “If you set your mind to it, there is nothing you cannot achieve.” For example, there is nothing wrong to practice basketball, instead of studying, for the dream of making NBA draft. Only that some paths are perilously difficult and, statistically, break too way too many spirits and ruined too many lives.

Sigh… Pragmatism kills dreams.

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Borders no more

Sad, Borders is closing doors. This is inevitable as brick-and-mortar bookstores, as well as all traditional media distributors, are giving ways to Internet. Although I have largely converted to Kindle, I assumed that close-out sales will be great bargains. On this beautiful Saturday morning, Kid and I went for a bookstore adventure.

I have forgotten the joy of book exploration. When I was much younger, I used to spent many weekend afternoons in the bookstore district, where dozens of bookstores concentrated within a couple of blocks. I would browse, flip, and read until my legs are sore. I would make mental notes and came back whenever I have saved up enough. Delight was the surprise discovery of a good book or author.

There was also this used-book district that I practically visit everyday. I collected Charles Schultz, Reader’s Digests, classic comic books, and photographic magazines. I bought my first I-Ching from the used-book district and treasured that particularly one still.

And that was oh so many years ago. After I have “grown up,” I would enter a bookstore, went directly to the staff, asked for the specific title, and walked away with it in less than few minutes. Later, I became more efficient; I would have called ahead and pick them up at the counter. Recently, I bought books almost exclusively online. There is little browsing, or even looking at the “recommendation” by whatever artificial intelligence those sites put on my account.

The price of the book is the least of my consideration. Every books trades away part of my life, I cannot afford bad books. All my books are referred, reviewed, recommended, or at least written by an author that I had good experience with. But, I know value when I see one. Books are the definition of commodity, each copy is perfectly interchangeable with the other. There is no point paying more on the same book. Bargain hunting is fun.

That’s why this Border trip is a nice nostalgia. I found myself wandering among the aisles with a mild glee. Sci-Fi, graphic novels, history, travel, pets, even autobiographies. I have really forgotten this leisure mood.

Finally, partially based on “staff recommendation,” I picked up Orson Scott Card’s The Lost Gate. I was surprised to learn the close-out sales is only 10% off. Borders would sell me the book for $24, including taxes. Seriously!? A quick check found the Kindle version at $12. What would you do?

“No wonder Border is closing doors,” I left the store empty-handed. “Can’t even sell me at the close-out.”

Posted in Peek into my mind, Witness to my life | 1 Comment

Seattle Grace Hospital

I have been a loyal fan for Grey’s Anatomy since they aired 8 (?) years ago. This medical drama is set in Seattle. Like the boat house in Sleepless in Seattle, I wondered if the famed Seattle Grace Hospital, where the doctors and interns practiced, really exist. It turns out the boat house exists on the shore of Lake Union. I never found it and really wasn’t that interested.

Seattle Grace Hospital is really the Fisher Plaza, so I heard. Since this office building is within walking distance, I decided to find the famed entrance where actors making their dramatic exits at the end of many episodes.

I stood there, supposed to be THE place. Squint my eyes, tilted my head, tried very hard to imagine the modern cinematic technologies.

Nope. Meredith or Christina did not come out.

This really make me wonder about TV and movie technologies. How much do we see is computer graphics? Would Roman Holiday be filmed in, gosh, New York City, if done today?

Oh well, found it, picture taken, check.

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